Corona. We have never seen something like this before. We know pandemics from the movies and names in history books.
Immunologists have seen this before. They have studied it. They understand the dynamics and unique nature and (un)predictability of viruses and infection diseases.
One thing stuck with me from the recent Joe Rogan interview with expert in the field Michael Osterholm.
The end game shall be either one of the following.
Option one, the desired one. We contain the virus by limiting the spread. This is a possibility, only in an early stage and with strict and drastic measures. The virus will stop spreading due to an extreme limitation of interpersonal contact in society and eventually will become passive. Sick people recover and the virus slowly fades.
Or option two, and this is a really dramatic one. Most people get the virus, strong people develop antibodies and recover. They won’t be infected again and eventually the collective resistency will do it’s job and the virus slowly fades. This option implies that the spread will remain exponential until most people have had the disease. Health care will probably collapse in the process due to the peak, this will be ugly.
Lastly there’s option 3. Osterholm – who studied this matter for over 40 years – said this is not going to be reality’, but I still wanted to share a third scenario: We find a cure and create a vaccine. We then will be able to fight the disease.
Whichever scenario is going to be the situation: buckle up. The upcoming months are going to be rough. Comparable with war, there won’t be winners.
Although I’ve never known war, I have read about it and I understand the concept. He who thinks ahead, has a shot of not losing.
Be safe.